(3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF GAM2 DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi 2.27 5.99 O .17 .24 O .11 .46 O 1H 1.47 5.99 O .09 .24 O .03 .46 O 2H 7.07 5.99 X .14 .24 O .12 .46 O 3H .67 5.99 O .11 .24 O .09 .46 O 4H 1.20 5.99 O .13 .24 O .12 .46 O 5H 2.53 5.99 O .08 .24 O .07 .46 O 6H .67 5.99 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O 8H 2.80 5.99 O .12 .24 O .05 .46 O 9H 2.27 5.99 O .11 .24 O .06 .46 O 12H 2.80 5.99 O .13 .24 O .05 .46 O 13H 2.27 5.99 O .12 .24 O .04 .46 O 14H 1.47 5.99 O .09 .24 O .04 .46 O 16H 2.27 5.99 O .09 .24 O .04 .46 O 18H 1.47 5.99 O .08 .24 O .05 .46 O 24H 1.73 5.99 O .07 .24 O .04 .46 O RAINFALL PPCC TEST DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi .92 .97 X 1H .94 .97 X 2H .95 .98 X 3H .96 .98 X 4H .96 .98 X 5H .96 .98 X 6H .97 .97 X 8H .95 .97 X 9H .94 .97 X 12H .96 .97 X 13H .96 .97 X 14H .97 .97 X 16H .97 .97 O 18H .97 .97 O 24H .98 .97 O GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF GEV DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi .33 3.84 O .11 .24 O .04 .46 O 1H .67 3.84 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O 2H 6.00 3.84 X .11 .24 O .08 .46 O 3H 4.33 3.84 X .09 .24 O .05 .46 O 4H 7.33 3.84 X .10 .24 O .07 .46 O 5H 4.33 3.84 X .09 .24 O .05 .46 O 6H 1.00 3.84 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O 8H 2.33 3.84 O .09 .24 O .05 .46 O 9H 8.33 3.84 X .09 .24 O .06 .46 O 12H 2.33 3.84 O .10 .24 O .03 .46 O 13H .67 3.84 O .09 .24 O .03 .46 O 14H 1.33 3.84 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O 16H 1.67 3.84 O .07 .24 O .04 .46 O 18H 2.33 3.84 O .08 .24 O .05 .46 O 24H 1.33 3.84 O .07 .24 O .04 .46 O RAINFALL PPCC TEST DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi .98 .93 O 1H .99 .95 O 5H .98 .96 O 6H .99 .96 O 8H .98 .95 O 9H .97 .94 O 12H .98 .94 O 13H .99 .94 O 14H .99 .94 O 16H .99 .95 O 18H .99 .95 O 24H .99 .96 O GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF GUM DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi 1.33 5.99 O .14 .24 O .07 .46 O 1H .67 5.99 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O 2H 3.33 5.99 O .16 .24 O .17 .46 O 3H 4.33 5.99 O .14 .24 O .13 .46 O 4H 4.00 5.99 O .15 .24 O .17 .46 O 5H 6.67 5.99 X .11 .24 O .11 .46 O 6H 1.33 5.99 O .09 .24 O .04 .46 O 8H 2.33 5.99 O .10 .24 O .05 .46 O 9H 3.67 5.99 O .10 .24 O .05 .46 O 12H 1.67 5.99 O .12 .24 O .03 .46 O 13H .67 5.99 O .10 .24 O .03 .46 O 14H 1.33 5.99 O .08 .24 O .03 .46 O 16H 1.67 5.99 O .07 .24 O .04 .46 O 18H 2.33 5.99 O .08 .24 O .05 .46 O 24H 1.67 5.99 O .08 .24 O .05 .46 O RAINFALL PPCC TEST DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi .98 .95 O 1H .99 .95 O 2H .97 .95 O 3H .97 .95 O 4H .97 .95 O 5H .98 .95 O 6H .99 .95 O 8H .98 .95 O 9H .97 .95 O 12H .98 .95 O 13H .99 .95 O 14H .99 .95 O 16H .99 .95 O 18H .99 .95 O 24H .99 .95 O GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF LGU2 DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi .33 5.99 O .08 .24 O .04 .46 O 1H 3.00 5.99 O .12 .24 O .12 .46 O 2H 10.33 5.99 X .23 .24 O .40 .46 O 3H 6.00 5.99 X .19 .24 O .35 .46 O 4H 3.00 5.99 O .22 .24 O .42 .46 O 5H 9.67 5.99 X .18 .24 O .33 .46 O 6H 3.00 5.99 O .13 .24 O .20 .46 O 8H 6.00 5.99 X .13 .24 O .16 .46 O 9H 3.67 5.99 O .14 .24 O .15 .46 O 12H 3.33 5.99 O .10 .24 O .10 .46 O 13H 3.33 5.99 O .10 .24 O .11 .46 O 14H 1.33 5.99 O .12 .24 O .12 .46 O 16H 2.33 5.99 O .14 .24 O .19 .46 O 18H 4.00 5.99 O .16 .24 O .20 .46 O 24H 1.67 5.99 O .15 .24 O .21 .46 O GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF LN2 DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi 1.67 5.99 O .11 .24 O .06 .46 O 1H .67 5.99 O .06 .24 O .03 .46 O 2H 10.00 5.99 X .13 .24 O .12 .46 O 3H 4.33 5.99 O .12 .24 O .10 .46 O 4H 8.00 5.99 X .13 .24 O .12 .46 O 5H 5.67 5.99 O .12 .24 O .08 .46 O 6H .67 5.99 O .09 .24 O .04 .46 O 8H 2.33 5.99 O .10 .24 O .05 .46 O 9H 8.33 5.99 X .09 .24 O .06 .46 O 12H 2.33 5.99 O .10 .24 O .03 .46 O 13H .67 5.99 O .09 .24 O .03 .46 O 14H 1.33 5.99 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O 16H 2.33 5.99 O .08 .24 O .04 .46 O 18H 3.67 5.99 O .07 .24 O .06 .46 O 24H 1.00 5.99 O .09 .24 O .04 .46 O RAINFALL PPCC TEST DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi .94 .96 X 1H .96 .96 X 2H .98 .96 O 3H .98 .96 O 4H .98 .96 O 5H .98 .96 O 6H .98 .96 O 8H .94 .96 X 9H .93 .96 X 12H .94 .96 X 13H .95 .96 X 14H .96 .96 X 16H .97 .96 O 18H .97 .96 O 24H .98 .96 O GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF WBU2 DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi 6.33 5.99 X .21 .24 O .23 .46 O 1H 3.33 5.99 O .13 .24 O .08 .46 O 2H 5.33 5.99 O .10 .24 O .07 .46 O 3H 4.33 5.99 O .09 .24 O .05 .46 O 4H 5.00 5.99 O .10 .24 O .06 .46 O 5H 3.67 5.99 O .10 .24 O .04 .46 O 6H .33 5.99 O .10 .24 O .04 .46 O 8H 1.33 5.99 O .15 .24 O .08 .46 O 9H 1.67 5.99 O .14 .24 O .10 .46 O 12H 2.67 5.99 O .16 .24 O .10 .46 O 13H 2.33 5.99 O .15 .24 O .09 .46 O 14H 1.67 5.99 O .11 .24 O .08 .46 O 16H 1.67 5.99 O .11 .24 O .06 .46 O 18H 3.67 5.99 O .11 .24 O .07 .46 O 24H 1.67 5.99 O .08 .24 O .04 .46 O RAINFALL PPCC TEST DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi .94 .95 X 1H .96 .95 O 2H .98 .95 O 3H .98 .95 O 4H .98 .95 O 5H .98 .95 O 6H .98 .95 O 8H .95 .95 X 9H .94 .95 X 12H .95 .95 X 13H .96 .95 O 14H .97 .95 O 16H .97 .95 O 18H .98 .95 O 24H .99 .95 O GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF WKB4 DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi 12.40 3.84 X .11 .24 O .05 .46 O 1H 3.20 3.84 O .13 .24 O .07 .46 O 2H 8.80 3.84 X .12 .24 O .11 .46 O NO CONVERGENCE : NEED MORE ITMAX 3H 2.80 3.84 O .11 .24 O .07 .46 O NO CONVERGENCE : NEED MORE ITMAX 4H 3.60 3.84 O .10 .24 O .09 .46 O NO CONVERGENCE : NEED MORE ITMAX 5H 9.20 3.84 X .12 .24 O .07 .46 O 6H 4.00 3.84 X .08 .24 O .05 .46 O 8H 3.20 3.84 O .09 .24 O .06 .46 O 9H 2.80 3.84 O .10 .24 O .06 .46 O 12H 1.20 3.84 O .09 .24 O .04 .46 O 13H 1.60 3.84 O .08 .24 O .03 .46 O 14H 1.60 3.84 O .09 .24 O .03 .46 O 16H 2.40 3.84 O .08 .24 O .04 .46 O 18H 3.20 3.84 O .08 .24 O .05 .46 O 24H .80 3.84 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR RAINFALL DATA OF WKB5 DISTRIBUTION RAINFALL CHI-SQUARE KOLMOGOROV-SMIRNOV CRAMER VON MISES DURATION COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK COMPUTED TABLE CHECK 10Mi 4.07 3.84 X .11 .24 O .05 .46 O 1H .80 3.84 O .07 .24 O .02 .46 O NO CONVERGENCE : NEED MORE ITMAX 2H 6.87 3.84 X .12 .24 O .12 .46 O NO CONVERGENCE : NEED MORE ITMAX 3H 7.80 3.84 X .11 .24 O .08 .46 O 4H 3.13 3.84 O .12 .24 O .05 .46 O NO CONVERGENCE : NEED MORE ITMAX 5H 3.13 3.84 O .11 .24 O .08 .46 O 6H .80 3.84 O .06 .24 O .02 .46 O 8H 3.60 3.84 O .07 .24 O .03 .46 O 9H 6.40 3.84 X .10 .24 O .03 .46 O 12H .80 3.84 O .08 .24 O .02 .46 O 13H 1.27 3.84 O .07 .24 O .02 .46 O 14H 1.27 3.84 O .05 .24 O .01 .46 O 16H .80 3.84 O .05 .24 O .01 .46 O 18H 5.47 3.84 X .06 .24 O .02 .46 O 24H .33 3.84 O .05 .24 O .02 .46 O ******************************************* * QUANTILE ESTIMATION * ******************************************* (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 10Mi RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 14.8 14.2 14.5 13.9 14.1 15.4 14.0 14.0 3.0 17.0 16.2 16.6 15.7 16.1 17.5 16.2 16.2 5.0 19.2 18.6 18.9 18.1 18.2 19.4 18.9 18.9 10.0 21.7 21.9 21.8 21.5 20.8 21.5 22.3 22.3 20.0 24.0 25.3 24.6 25.5 23.2 23.1 25.5 25.5 30.0 25.3 27.5 26.2 28.0 24.6 23.9 27.3 27.3 50.0 26.8 30.3 28.2 31.6 26.3 24.9 29.5 29.5 70.0 27.7 32.2 29.6 34.3 27.3 25.5 30.8 30.9 80.0 28.1 33.0 30.1 35.3 27.8 25.7 31.4 31.4 100.0 28.7 34.3 30.9 37.3 28.5 26.0 32.2 32.3 200.0 30.6 38.7 33.6 43.8 30.7 27.1 34.8 34.9 300.0 31.6 41.4 35.2 48.2 32.0 27.6 36.3 36.4 500.0 32.9 45.0 37.2 54.3 33.7 28.3 38.0 38.1 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 1H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 40.8 39.7 40.0 38.2 39.8 42.3 39.2 40.6 3.0 46.7 45.6 45.7 43.3 45.6 48.2 45.3 45.9 5.0 52.9 52.2 52.2 49.8 51.9 53.6 52.5 51.2 10.0 60.1 60.7 60.3 59.4 59.6 59.3 61.3 58.3 20.0 66.5 68.9 68.1 70.4 66.8 63.9 69.2 66.3 30.0 69.9 73.8 72.5 77.6 70.9 66.2 73.4 71.6 50.0 74.1 79.8 78.1 87.7 76.0 68.8 78.3 79.2 70.0 76.8 83.8 81.8 95.0 79.3 70.4 81.4 84.7 80.0 77.8 85.4 83.2 98.0 80.6 71.1 82.5 87.1 100.0 79.6 88.1 85.6 103.3 82.8 72.1 84.4 91.1 200.0 84.7 96.5 93.2 121.7 89.6 75.0 89.9 105.4 300.0 87.7 101.5 97.5 133.9 93.5 76.5 92.8 114.9 500.0 91.3 107.8 103.1 151.1 98.5 78.4 96.2 128.4 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 2H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 60.1 61.4 58.9 56.1 62.1 62.3 61.0 60.8 3.0 69.2 70.7 67.7 63.8 71.4 71.3 70.6 70.8 5.0 78.6 79.8 77.5 73.8 81.6 79.7 80.3 80.6 10.0 89.6 89.8 89.9 88.5 94.2 88.5 90.1 90.2 20.0 99.4 97.9 101.7 105.4 106.1 95.5 96.9 96.8 30.0 104.8 102.0 108.6 116.5 112.8 99.1 99.9 99.6 50.0 111.3 106.7 117.1 132.1 121.2 103.3 103.0 102.4 70.0 115.4 109.5 122.7 143.4 126.7 105.8 104.6 103.9 80.0 117.0 110.5 124.9 148.2 128.8 106.7 105.1 104.4 100.0 119.6 112.2 128.6 156.5 132.4 108.3 106.0 105.2 200.0 127.6 117.0 140.0 185.2 143.6 112.8 108.2 107.1 300.0 132.2 119.4 146.7 204.4 150.2 115.3 109.1 107.9 500.0 137.8 122.2 155.1 231.4 158.5 118.2 110.0 108.7 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 3H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 70.4 72.4 69.0 65.4 73.2 73.0 72.0 71.9 3.0 81.5 83.8 79.8 74.8 84.5 84.0 84.3 84.5 5.0 93.1 94.8 91.8 87.0 96.9 94.5 96.0 96.3 10.0 106.8 106.6 107.0 105.2 112.3 105.4 107.1 107.2 20.0 118.9 116.1 121.5 126.1 126.7 114.3 114.3 114.1 30.0 125.6 120.9 129.9 140.0 135.0 118.8 117.3 117.0 50.0 133.7 126.3 140.3 159.5 145.3 124.0 120.2 119.7 70.0 138.8 129.5 147.2 173.8 152.0 127.1 121.6 121.0 80.0 140.8 130.7 149.9 179.8 154.6 128.4 122.1 121.4 100.0 144.1 132.6 154.4 190.3 159.1 130.3 122.9 122.1 200.0 154.1 137.8 168.5 226.8 172.9 136.0 124.6 123.7 300.0 159.7 140.6 176.7 251.3 181.0 139.1 125.4 124.3 500.0 166.7 143.6 187.0 285.9 191.2 142.8 126.1 124.9 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 4H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 81.0 83.7 79.4 75.3 84.6 84.1 83.1 88.2 3.0 93.8 96.7 91.9 86.2 97.8 96.8 95.9 99.6 5.0 107.2 109.3 105.8 100.2 112.4 108.8 109.0 105.9 10.0 122.9 122.6 123.2 121.1 130.4 121.3 122.5 109.8 20.0 136.9 133.2 139.9 145.2 147.4 131.5 132.4 113.3 30.0 144.6 138.5 149.5 161.1 157.1 136.7 136.8 116.1 50.0 153.8 144.3 161.5 183.6 169.1 142.7 141.4 121.2 70.0 159.7 147.8 169.4 200.0 177.0 146.3 143.8 126.1 80.0 162.0 149.1 172.5 206.9 180.2 147.7 144.7 128.4 100.0 165.8 151.1 177.8 218.9 185.4 150.0 146.1 133.0 200.0 177.3 156.8 193.9 260.9 201.7 156.5 149.5 154.5 300.0 183.8 159.7 203.3 289.0 211.2 160.1 151.1 174.6 500.0 191.9 162.9 215.2 328.8 223.3 164.4 152.6 212.6 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 5H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 89.3 91.2 87.6 82.8 92.1 92.7 90.5 90.3 3.0 104.0 106.1 101.9 95.2 107.3 107.3 106.3 106.5 5.0 119.4 121.0 117.8 111.2 124.1 121.2 122.3 122.7 10.0 137.5 137.6 137.7 135.1 145.0 135.8 138.5 138.7 20.0 153.6 151.5 156.8 162.9 164.9 147.6 150.0 149.9 30.0 162.5 158.7 167.8 181.5 176.3 153.7 155.2 154.8 50.0 173.3 166.9 181.6 207.6 190.5 160.7 160.4 159.6 70.0 180.1 171.9 190.6 226.8 199.9 164.9 163.2 162.2 80.0 182.8 173.8 194.2 234.8 203.6 166.5 164.2 163.1 100.0 187.2 176.8 200.1 248.9 209.8 169.2 165.7 164.4 200.0 200.5 185.5 218.6 298.3 229.1 176.9 169.4 167.8 300.0 208.1 190.1 229.4 331.6 240.5 181.1 171.1 169.3 500.0 217.4 195.4 243.0 378.7 255.0 186.1 172.8 170.7 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 6H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 96.7 96.3 95.0 89.2 97.0 100.5 95.1 99.9 3.0 113.6 113.1 111.4 103.2 114.0 117.3 112.3 114.6 5.0 131.3 131.2 129.6 121.5 133.1 133.4 131.7 127.5 10.0 152.3 153.0 152.4 149.1 157.2 150.5 154.4 143.7 20.0 171.1 173.1 174.3 181.5 180.2 164.4 173.5 162.6 30.0 181.5 184.2 187.0 203.2 193.5 171.6 183.2 175.8 50.0 194.0 197.7 202.7 234.0 210.2 179.9 194.2 195.4 70.0 202.0 206.3 213.1 256.7 221.2 185.0 200.8 210.3 80.0 205.1 209.7 217.1 266.2 225.6 186.9 203.2 216.7 100.0 210.3 215.3 224.0 283.0 232.9 190.0 207.1 228.2 200.0 225.9 232.1 245.2 342.2 255.9 199.2 217.9 270.1 300.0 234.8 241.5 257.5 382.3 269.5 204.2 223.5 299.8 500.0 245.8 253.1 273.1 439.5 286.7 210.2 229.7 343.8 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 8H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 108.4 105.5 106.6 99.8 105.8 112.6 104.2 109.6 3.0 127.7 124.2 125.3 115.8 124.6 131.9 121.2 123.5 5.0 148.1 145.5 146.1 136.7 145.6 150.4 142.7 138.1 10.0 172.1 173.0 172.2 168.3 172.2 170.2 172.1 160.7 20.0 193.8 200.1 197.3 205.5 197.7 186.3 201.7 189.2 30.0 205.8 216.0 211.7 230.5 212.4 194.6 219.1 209.5 50.0 220.2 236.3 229.8 266.1 230.9 204.2 241.1 239.7 70.0 229.4 249.8 241.6 292.4 243.1 210.0 255.7 262.8 80.0 233.0 255.2 246.3 303.5 247.9 212.3 261.5 272.8 100.0 239.0 264.3 254.1 323.0 256.1 216.0 271.2 290.6 200.0 257.0 293.0 278.4 391.8 281.5 226.6 301.5 356.0 300.0 267.3 310.1 292.5 438.5 296.6 232.4 319.3 402.6 500.0 280.0 332.0 310.3 505.4 315.8 239.4 341.9 471.9 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 9H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 112.3 108.7 110.4 103.2 109.0 116.6 107.5 113.5 3.0 132.7 128.3 130.2 120.0 128.6 137.1 124.8 127.8 5.0 154.2 150.9 152.2 142.0 150.7 156.8 147.3 142.6 10.0 179.8 180.4 179.8 175.5 178.6 177.7 178.8 165.4 20.0 202.8 210.0 206.3 215.0 205.5 194.9 211.6 195.5 30.0 215.5 227.6 221.5 241.6 221.0 203.8 231.3 217.5 50.0 230.9 250.2 240.6 279.6 240.5 214.1 256.9 251.3 70.0 240.7 265.4 253.1 307.7 253.4 220.4 274.1 277.9 80.0 244.5 271.5 258.0 319.6 258.6 222.8 281.0 289.5 100.0 250.8 281.8 266.3 340.4 267.2 226.7 292.7 310.5 200.0 270.1 314.7 291.9 414.2 294.2 238.1 330.0 389.9 300.0 281.0 334.5 306.9 464.5 310.1 244.3 352.5 448.4 500.0 294.6 360.1 325.7 536.6 330.5 251.8 381.6 537.8 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 12H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 123.2 118.6 121.4 112.7 118.7 128.0 116.9 121.7 3.0 146.7 140.9 144.1 131.9 141.0 151.7 138.2 139.5 5.0 171.7 166.9 169.4 157.2 166.3 174.6 165.2 160.8 10.0 201.4 201.6 201.2 195.8 198.4 199.2 202.2 193.1 20.0 228.3 237.1 231.7 241.8 229.6 219.5 239.7 231.1 30.0 243.1 258.5 249.3 273.1 247.7 230.0 261.8 256.5 50.0 261.1 286.4 271.2 317.8 270.5 242.2 289.8 292.0 70.0 272.6 305.4 285.6 351.1 285.6 249.7 308.4 318.0 80.0 277.1 313.1 291.3 365.2 291.6 252.5 315.8 328.8 100.0 284.5 326.1 300.8 390.0 301.7 257.2 328.2 347.8 200.0 307.1 368.1 330.3 478.2 333.5 270.8 367.0 413.6 300.0 320.0 393.9 347.5 538.7 352.3 278.3 389.9 457.5 500.0 335.9 427.6 369.2 625.9 376.4 287.2 419.0 519.1 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 13H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 125.9 121.7 124.1 115.2 121.9 130.9 120.0 124.3 3.0 149.9 144.7 147.3 134.8 145.0 155.1 141.9 142.7 5.0 175.5 171.2 173.2 160.6 171.1 178.5 169.5 165.4 10.0 205.9 206.2 205.7 200.2 204.4 203.7 206.9 199.3 20.0 233.3 241.6 236.9 247.2 236.6 224.4 244.2 237.9 30.0 248.5 262.8 254.8 279.2 255.3 235.2 266.0 262.7 50.0 266.9 290.2 277.3 324.9 279.0 247.6 293.4 296.9 70.0 278.7 308.7 292.0 358.9 294.6 255.2 311.5 321.1 80.0 283.3 316.2 297.8 373.4 300.9 258.2 318.6 331.2 100.0 290.9 328.8 307.5 398.8 311.4 262.9 330.6 348.6 200.0 314.0 369.1 337.7 489.0 344.3 276.9 367.7 407.3 300.0 327.2 393.7 355.3 550.9 363.8 284.5 389.4 445.2 500.0 343.5 425.6 377.4 640.0 388.9 293.7 416.7 497.2 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 14H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 128.6 124.8 126.7 117.7 125.1 133.7 123.1 126.7 3.0 153.1 148.3 150.4 137.7 148.8 158.3 145.4 145.6 5.0 179.1 175.3 176.8 164.0 175.6 182.2 173.3 169.8 10.0 210.1 210.6 209.9 204.3 209.7 207.8 211.0 205.1 20.0 238.0 245.8 241.7 252.2 242.9 228.9 248.3 243.9 30.0 253.5 266.8 260.0 284.7 262.1 239.9 270.0 268.3 50.0 272.2 293.7 282.8 331.3 286.4 252.5 297.2 301.0 70.0 284.2 311.8 297.8 365.9 302.5 260.3 315.1 323.8 80.0 288.9 319.1 303.7 380.6 308.9 263.3 322.1 333.1 100.0 296.6 331.3 313.6 406.4 319.7 268.1 333.9 349.0 200.0 320.2 370.3 344.4 498.2 353.6 282.3 370.3 401.8 300.0 333.6 393.8 362.3 561.1 373.7 290.1 391.5 435.0 500.0 350.1 424.1 384.9 651.7 399.4 299.4 418.0 479.5 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 16H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 134.2 132.1 132.2 123.0 132.8 139.5 130.7 135.6 3.0 159.5 156.9 156.7 143.7 157.9 164.9 153.2 154.0 5.0 186.4 184.4 183.9 170.9 186.4 189.5 181.1 176.6 10.0 218.3 219.1 218.2 212.5 222.7 215.9 218.2 210.1 20.0 247.1 252.3 251.0 261.9 257.9 237.6 254.3 247.8 30.0 263.0 271.4 269.9 295.4 278.3 248.9 275.1 272.0 50.0 282.3 295.3 293.5 343.3 304.2 261.9 300.8 305.0 70.0 294.7 311.0 309.0 378.8 321.3 269.9 317.4 328.5 80.0 299.5 317.2 315.2 393.9 328.1 272.9 324.0 338.1 100.0 307.5 327.5 325.4 420.4 339.5 277.9 334.9 354.8 200.0 331.7 359.7 357.1 514.6 375.5 292.5 368.2 410.9 300.0 345.5 378.4 375.7 579.0 396.9 300.4 387.2 446.9 500.0 362.5 402.1 399.0 671.8 424.2 309.9 410.9 496.1 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 18H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 138.9 137.4 136.7 127.5 138.2 144.4 136.1 140.1 3.0 164.5 162.6 161.4 148.6 163.8 170.0 158.2 158.5 5.0 191.5 190.2 189.0 176.1 192.7 194.7 185.7 182.0 10.0 223.6 224.5 223.6 218.1 229.3 221.1 222.5 216.3 20.0 252.5 256.8 256.7 267.7 264.7 242.7 258.6 254.0 30.0 268.4 275.2 275.8 301.1 285.2 253.9 279.5 277.7 50.0 287.8 297.9 299.7 349.0 311.1 266.9 305.5 309.5 70.0 300.1 312.6 315.3 384.4 328.2 274.8 322.4 331.6 80.0 304.9 318.5 321.5 399.4 335.0 277.8 329.1 340.7 100.0 312.9 328.1 331.9 425.7 346.4 282.8 340.3 356.2 200.0 337.1 357.8 363.9 518.9 382.3 297.2 374.4 407.5 300.0 350.9 374.9 382.6 582.6 403.6 305.1 394.2 439.7 500.0 367.9 396.2 406.2 673.9 430.8 314.5 418.7 483.0 (3) METHOD OF PROBABILITY WEIGHTED MOMENTS DURATION = 24H RETURN GAM2 GEV GUM LGU2 LN2 WBU2 WKB4 WKB5 PERIOD DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. DIST. 2.0 147.9 148.1 145.5 135.9 149.3 153.6 146.5 150.3 3.0 174.6 174.8 171.4 158.1 176.6 180.5 172.4 172.3 5.0 203.0 203.3 200.2 187.0 207.3 206.3 202.2 198.4 10.0 236.5 237.3 236.5 230.9 246.1 233.8 238.1 233.0 20.0 266.7 268.0 271.3 282.7 283.6 256.3 269.2 266.9 30.0 283.3 285.0 291.3 317.6 305.3 268.0 285.5 286.3 50.0 303.5 305.4 316.3 367.4 332.6 281.4 304.3 310.4 70.0 316.3 318.4 332.7 404.2 350.7 289.6 315.6 326.1 80.0 321.4 323.4 339.2 419.8 357.9 292.8 319.9 332.2 100.0 329.7 331.7 350.1 447.1 369.9 297.9 326.8 342.5 200.0 354.9 356.5 383.7 543.7 407.8 312.9 346.4 373.8 300.0 369.2 370.4 403.3 609.5 430.2 321.0 356.7 391.8 500.0 387.0 387.2 428.0 703.8 458.8 330.8 368.4 414.2